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Afternoon Numbers

The markets remained relatively calm today with the DJIA gaining 43.97 (.36%) to end at 12,273.26.  The NASDAQ ended up 18.99 (.68%) at 2,809.44 and the S&P500 finished at 1,329.15, up 7.28 (.55%).

Trading was generally upbeat on news of Mubarak’s resignation but that optimism was tempered by worries of decreased productivity as Crasstalk replaced Crosstalk as a leading timesuck among white-collar employees.  Productivity is expected to decline in the coming weeks as the Crasstalk brand expands into other areas, including Facebook and Twitter.

Comment was unavailable from most major analyst firms as their receptionist staff was, fittingly enough, commenting on Crasstalk.  Open thread below.

What’s next for Egypt?

I am cautiously optimistic regarding a new government in Egypt. I am extremely worried that the military will step in to fill the void. I’m not the only one:

“I hoped for a peaceful transition of power which followed the law, so I am worried about this move. This is what the people want, but that doesn’t necessarily mean it’s good for them. This is a very worrying time and the people who are celebrating now should stop treating this like a soccer match. They just wanted to get the president to step down, but they weren’t thinking about the ramifications. The army must give an exact declaration of what they will do. The only legal authority now is from members of parliament. If the army says that they will dissolve our parliament then we will have no constitution, no government and no vice-president. I’ve just been out onto the streets and everyone is waving flags and sounding horns. Most of my friends are not happy about this, because we don’t like the idea of the army taking power. We don’t need another 60 years of military rule.”

– Maged Salib, Cairo

(via BBC)

Phone envy

I am so behind the phone times, it’s not even funny.  OK, laugh at my Motorola RAZR if you will.  I don’t mind.  It’s been a great phone for lo these many years, but it’s starting to tell me that quitting time approaches.  Fritzy screen, no battery life, dropped calls (relating to the fritzy screen, I’m sure).

All the cool kids seem to have these smartphones where they can play games and watch movies and start their cars.  That sounds like fun, doesn’t it?  My RAZR can make calls and send texts.  Not a real multi-tasker.

My carrier is Verizon, which informs my choice of phones.  Now, before you say some other carrier is better / cheaper / faster / a “sure thing” on the first date, let me tell you that I’ve tried a few different carriers and for me, Verizon is the winner.  Your mileage may vary.  Please consult your physician.

The contenders for the New Miss Manbadly Phone 2011 Award are:

Motorola Droid X

This one is a festive little performer, isn’t it?  HDMI output, records 720p video, 4.3″ display, bluetooth and wi-fi.

Ignore the product website, coded by Satan in Flash with some of the most annoying visual and audio effects available.  At least one can turn the audio off on that website.  Too bad the vertigo-inducing spinning phone effects can’t be quelled, too.

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HTC Droid Incredible

Same Satanic product website as the Droid X, so I guess that evens the playing field.

Also has bluetooth and wi-fi, with the added bonus of bluetooth stereo connections.  That’s fun.

Also acts as a speakerphone, which is a must as far as I’m concerned.  As far as I can tell that feature is missing on the Droid X.  Has a camera but no HDMI output.

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Apple iPhone

Ha ha, just kidding.  I wouldn’t buy an iPhone.  I own an 5th gen iPod shuffle and that’s enough Apple for me, thanks.

So, kids, I open it up to you.  Recommendations?  Thoughts?  I’m more concerned with features and reliability than cost at this point, so if you’ve got stories, share ’em!

Flowcharts for sanity

All this talk of garbled code and web design has me thinking of two things: work and how people in my former profession often hate the people they work for.

Okay, hate may be a little excessive, but there are a reason sites like Clients from Hell exist. The simple reason is this: for those of us in careers in which no one understand what we do, or in which we are expected to be magic, we will go crazy if we don’t laugh at our tormentor overlords.

I think that’s been what’s happening around here with Denton today. Blowing off steam.

In an attempt to redirect that, I have a question for you: how do people in your profession blow off steam/mock those who torment you/etc?


XKCD is one of my favorite destinations – usually a new comic every M-W-F and they make me actually laugh quite a bit. Coding well is hard, and this is the perfect visualization of it:

XKCD "Good Coe"

From Should I Work for Free, and I actually remind myself to look at it before I offer to do something for a friend (which results in me saying No a lot). If you are a code geek go look at her site because she actually made the visual chart using CSS and HTML. So much love for that.

Should I work for free?

Click to expand the flow chart.

So. What about you guys?

The least sympathetic ‘I have lots of student debt’ story ever

Yesterday the New York Times brought us a story about the plight of law school graduates that focused on a guy named Michael Wallerstein. Ostensibly, Wallerstein’s purpose was to serve as a nice thumbnail for the story’s angle: that law schools are ripping students off and leaving them with lots of debt and very little in the way of job prospects.

Now, in general the article made a pretty solid case that structural incentives are driving law schools into a never-ending chase for more students and more tuition money, even though the job market for new lawyers is basically complete shite. Fair enough.

But the more we learn about this Wallerstein character, the less I want to feel sorry for him. Let’s review his case!

And many students enroll for reasons other than immediate financial returns. Mr. Wallerstein, for instance, was drawn by the prestige of the degree. He has no regrets, at least for now, even though he seems doomed to a type of indentured servitude at least through his 30s.

“Law school might not be worth it for another 10 or 15 years,” he says, “but the riskier approach always has the bigger payoff.”

Good start! Is he an asshole, or just painfully delusional? We don’t know yet, and must read on to find out. Very suspenseful, New York Times!

WHEN he started in 2006, Michael Wallerstein knew little about the Thomas Jefferson School of Law, other than that it was in San Diego, which seemed like a fine place to spend three years.

“I looked at schools in Pennsylvania and Long Island,” he says, “but I thought, why not go somewhere I’ll enjoy?”

All major life decisions should really come down to whether or not the weather is good. That’s the kind of critical thinking I would look for when hiring an attorney.

Mr. Wallerstein is chatting over lunch one recent afternoon with his fiancée, Karin Michonski. She, too, seems unperturbed by his dizzying collection of i.o.u.’s. Despite those debts, she hopes that he does not wind up in one of those time-gobbling corporate law jobs.

“We like hanging out together,” she says with a laugh.

If love paid the bills, these two would be debt-free tomorrow. But it doesn’t, and Mr. Wallerstein has no money in the bank, no assets and — aside from the occasional job as a legal temp — no wages to garnish. He and Ms. Michonski live rent-free in a nearby brownstone, in return for keeping an eye on the elderly man who owns the place.

Wait. These two (I kind of feel sorry for the girlfriend getting dragged into this, but since she obviously has such awful taste….) have no plans for ever repaying their debts while they live for free in a New York City brownstone. And we’re supposed to feel sorry for him.

WHEN Mr. Wallerstein started at Thomas Jefferson, he was in no mood for austerity. He borrowed so much that before the start of his first semester he nearly put a down payment on a $350,000 two-bedroom, two-bath condo, figuring that the investment would earn a profit by the time he graduated. He was ready to ink the deal until a rep at the mortgage giant Countrywide asked if his employer at the time — a trade magazine publisher in New Jersey — would write a letter falsely stating that he was moving to San Diego for work.

“We were on a three-way call with my real estate agent and I said I didn’t feel comfortable with that,” he says. “The Countrywide guy chuckled and said, ‘Everyone lies on their mortgage application.’ ”

Great. We found the one group of people more hateable than bratty law school students… Countrywide mortgage loan officers. What a nexus of suck.

Instead, Mr. Wallerstein rented a spacious apartment. He also spent a month studying in the South of France and a month in Prague — all on borrowed money. There were cost-of-living loans, and tuition of about $33,000 a year. Later came a $15,000 loan to cover months of studying for the bar.

Oh, he actually did the right thing! Way to pay attention in those ethics classes! But wait, then he went and rented a huge apartment and dicked around in Europe. What kind of “studying” can a law student accomplish in France in only one month? Is this actually part of the curriculum? Are we training lawyers in how to make a fucking salade nicoise now?

Today, his best guess is that he should be sending $2,000 to $3,000 a month in total, to lenders that include Wells Fargo, Citibank and Sallie Mae.

“There are a bunch of others,” he says. “I’m not really good at keeping records.”

Good. I hate when my lawyer bothers to do stupid shit like “keep records.” Keeping records is for gay-ass bitches. Fuck that. I’d rather hire a lawyer who knows his way around the hostels of Prague.

AS a student, Mr. Wallerstein assumed that the very scale of law school — all the paperwork, all the professors, all the tests — implied that pots of gold awaited anyone with smarts, charm and a willingness to work hard. He began to doubt that assumption when the firm where he had interned told him that it hadn’t been profitable for two years and could not offer him a full-time job.

Well, the assholishness is strong in this one, but don’t forget his delusional side! But now is where we get to my absolute favorite part of the article, when Wallerdouche really brings it all together….

MR. WALLERSTEIN, for his part, is not complaining. Once you throw in the intangibles of having a J.D., he says, he is one of law schools’ satisfied customers.

So yeah, obviously he’s quite the sympathetic victim of the unscrupulous law schools.

“It’s a prestige thing,” he says. “I’m an attorney. All of my friends see me as a person they look up to. They understand I’m in a lot of debt, but I’ve done something they feel they could never do and the respect and admiration is important.”

This guy is $250,000 in debt and works a crappy document review temp job and yet he’s STILL convinced all his friends look up to him. Like I said… don’t ignore this guy’s ability to delude himself.

Unless, somehow, the debt just goes away. Another of Mr. Wallerstein’s techniques for remaining cool in a serious financial pickle: believe that the pickle might somehow disappear.

“Bank bailouts, company bailouts — I don’t know, we’re the generation of bailouts,” he says in a hallway during a break from his Peak Discovery job. “And like, this debt of mine is just sort of, it’s a little illusory. I feel like at some point, I’ll negotiate it away, or they won’t collect it.”

He gives a slight shrug and a smile as he heads back to work. “It could be worse,” he says. “It’s not like they can put me jail.”

Now far be it from me to take an overly moralistic view of debt. I consider defaulting on a debt to be an economic problem, not a moral one. But knowing what we know about this guy’s reasons for going to school, his desire to live in a big apartment near the beach, the European vacations and his complete lack of a viable career path…. I nominate for the title of Mr. Wallerstein America’s Least Sympathetic Student Debt Story.

(I think this story won the title in 2009.)

Some Thoughts on the Renunciation of Political Violence

Yesterday a deranged young man walked up to US congresswoman and shot her in the back of the head. He then turned his gun on the crowd gathered in a sunny Arizona parking lot who had come to meet her. Gabrielle Giffords survived, but six others did not. Three of the slain were over 70 years old, one was a federal judge, another a pastor, one was a nine year-old child.

Most of us were saddened and frightened, but I doubt that more than a few were surprised.

Today, we point fingers and make accusations. Those who have cloaked themselves in the language and imagery of violence deny responsibility and angrily demand absolution. Their Second Amendment Solutions and shouts of treason and conspiracy are not meant to be taken literally, only a crazy person would think otherwise.

It does not matter if the violent rhetoric caused this young man to act, it is wrong to call for violence against your political opponent in any circumstance.

There has been an almost 250% increase in militia groups in the last two years, and citizens turn up with guns at community meetings to show the bastards who’s really in charge.

It is a sad irony that a child who was interested in public service was gunned down amidst a cacophony of claims that all of those who work for the government are lazy, corrupt, and evil. We have made those who do the work of the taxpayer an enemy that deserves no mercy.

Last night a commenter posted this on Prison Planet:

The militia crowd, that constantly evokes its right to overthrow the government by force if necessary has made itself a victim of this tragedy. They will be blamed and oppressed, their rights taken away. It is all about them, not the families who lost loved ones or those who struggle to survive in the hospital.

What made George Washington a patriot wasn’t his victories in battle, but rather his peaceful relinquishing of power when his time to rule had come to an end.

We have made violent imagery the back drop of our political theater, yet we act surprised when the afflicted among us actually perform the script. Meanwhile, those who oppose the violence have ceded the stage. Instead of meeting the rhetoric straight on and appealing to our neighbor’s sense of decency, we have retreated into sarcasm and disdain. We have taken our sense of superiority and used it as a pretext to write off entire classes and groups of people who are not like us. Even though most of those people pray and weep just as we do at times like these.

We have let the smallest of threats intimidate us. If it is more comforting to be a coward than an aggressor then feel free to embrace it, but it gives me no consolation today.

I would like to think that this will be a turning point for us in this country and that we will embrace civility, but I cannot. I would like to think that my actions and attitudes make a difference, but they will not. I would like to know that Americans are better than this, but I do not.

Has The Rapture Index Dropped the Ball?

2 million fish were found dead in The Chesapeake Bay. 100,000 fish went belly up in Northwest Arkansas. Thousands of birds died in Arkansas, Louisiana and Sweden. They just fell out of the sky.

WTF?

Naturally, I turned to The Rapture Index (www.raptureready.com) for answers. Is it Armageddon? Is it Rapture Time? If you’ve missed my blog posts on the issue, The Rapture Index is self-defined as “the prophetic speedometer of end-time activity”. The Index measures a variety of categories including false christs, liberalism, plagues, droughts, and the occult. The record Index high was 182 on Sept 24, 2001. The record low of 57 was recorded on December 12, 1993.

There is no specific Index measure for dying birds or fish, but if I remember correctly from the movie The Seventh Sign, dying fish and birds falling from the sky are definitely a bad sign. I went right to The Rapture Index for answers and what do you think I found? Nothing! The Index has not been updated since January 3rd and it’s sitting steady at 173. That’s pretty high but there is no mention whatsoever of the bird/fish death plague and how it might affect the rapture. Should I pack for the rapture? Should I find heathens to watch my pets after the rapture? Should I bother to send in a check for this month’s mortgage? Dammit, I need answers. If I can’t turn to The Rapture Index, where can I turn?

Crossposted from bbqcornnuts.typepad.com

2012 Is Fiction

2012 has become the Unified Field Theory of apocalyptic scenarios.  Every other theory, from tales of Planet X colliding with Earth to the Rapture, have coalesced under the umbrella of the 2012 myth.  This unification of apocalypse scenarios seemed to happen within the past few years,  with rumors spreading that the Mayans predicted the end of the world on December 21, 2012.  That date caught on in the public’s imagination, most likely because of how close and specific it is.  Every theory comes back to the Mayans.

And it’s all bullshit.  For the moment, let’s put aside the assumption that the Mayans must have known things about the universe we don’t since they were ancient and therefore wiser than modern society could ever hope to be.  Let’s pretend the Mayan religion is the one true religion.  2012 theories would still be bullshit.

First we should cover the origin of this belief.  The Mayan calender was incredibly advanced for its day, and envisioned time in cycles not unlike our concepts of weeks and months, with the same patterns endlessly repeating. While our longest unit of time is the year, theirs was  the b’ak’tun, a period of 394.3 years.  They kept count from when they believe creation began, roughly 3114 B.C.  From that point, we are in the 13th b’ak’tun, which is set to end on December 21st (or 23rd depending on the translation) 2012.

That’s actually about it.  It’s sort of the Mayan equivalent of a new millennium.  Not really significant in and of itself, but fairly novel in that few people ever live to see the calender flip over to so many zeroes.  But don’t take my word for it, ask an actual Mayan elder from Guatemala who educates people on his heritage.

Now, aside from the testimony of real Mayans alive today, how did anyone ever come to the conclusion that the end of this b’ak’tun would be the end of time?  It was found on one tablet.  Just one.  It was badly damaged difficult to read.  Nothing on that tablet said anything about the end of time, it was just as far as the calender went.

The cartoonist who drew that probably thought he or she was just being a wiseass.  That’s really the main argument all Mayan scholars make against 2012 theories.  It was one tablet, and odds are that whoever made it figured that by 2012 someone could afford another stone and continue the calender.

Nowhere in Mayan mythology does an apocalypse even appear.  They never believed that time ends, they believed it was cyclical and eternal.  By all accounts, the very concept of a “Mayan apocalypse” is a pure modern invention that comes with assuming all religions are like Christianity.  It’s as absurd as talking about a Christian rain god.

If you’re still not convinced, you should also know that a Dutch scholar of Mayan history recently pointed out our Mayan translations may be off, and introduced a new codex that would put the end of the 13th b’ak’tun in 2220.  So please feel free to enjoy the next 2 years.